One Hot Holiday Season
by Rob Spiegel
Don’t you just love the holidays? I did all my out-of-town shopping in
one afternoon at Amazon and Barnes and Noble. All that the last minute. I
received surprising discounts – way below Wal-Mart prices. I got free or
dirt-cheap shipping. And it’s all promised to arrive well before Santa’s
busy night. No congestion in the mall. No line at the post office. And I
didn’t have to bump up against people carrying the flue. Just me and my
computer on a quiet afternoon with Dean Martin singing “The Christmas
Blues” in the background. This is too easy. No wonder online holiday sales
are up.
And boy are they up. According to the eSpending report from Nielsen/NetRatings,
Goldman, Sachs & Co. and Harris Interactive, consumers spent $2.7 billion
online for non-travel-related products and services during the week that
ended December 5. That’s up 18 percent from the prior week, which isn’t
surprising. But the shocker is that online spending is up 85 percent over
the $1.46 billion spent during the same week last year.
Not surprisingly, half of all online holiday shoppers completed their
purchases via a broadband connection. I use a cable connection, so a great
part of my shopping ease was due to the quick product searching that comes
from a high speed connection. I was able to click quickly from product to
product, comparing prices and features. In years past, the slow dial-up
performance made searching and product comparisons frustratingly slow and
tedious.
Some of the stated reasons consumers bought online have shifted this
year. The leading reason people purchased online was to avoid crowds. This
is a chestnut, the top reason for many years. Almost 40 percent wanted to
avoid the mall crunch. Another 35 percent were motivated by lower prices
online. This reason has gained ground as online retailers offer deep
discounts and eat much of the shipping costs. The third reason was the
comparison shopping power of the Net. This reason has gained ground with
the proliferation of high-speed connections. Comparison shopping is tons
easier with broadband.
Two other chestnuts rounded out the list. Online shopping is more
convenient than traveling from store to store, and there is a wider
selection of products available on the Internet. Shoppers also praised the
ease us using the Internet. Forty-two percent said they were “very
satisfied” with the 2003 holiday shopping season, a ten-point gain over
last year.
Nielsen/NetRatings analysts are bullish on the remaining days of 2003
holiday shopping, since only 31 percent of respondents claim to be
finished shopping. “With nearly 70 percent of consumers still shopping,
there’s plenty of room for growth and increased spending online,” says
Abha Bhagat, senior analyst at Nielsen/NetRatings. “Additionally, with
Chanukah beginning three weeks later this year as compared with last year
and retailers extending shipping deadlines, we’re looking forward to
continued growth and a solid overall holiday season.”
I’m thinking of shopping online for my kids and in-town friends this
year. In the past, I’ve always considered Internet shopping an alternative
to mail order catalogs for out-of-town relatives and friends. But why not
shop online for in-town giving? The costs are low. The gifts come right to
the house and they’re already in boxes. All you have to do is slap on some
wrapping paper and slide them under the tree.
Overall holiday sales on the Internet are predicted to reach from $14
to $17 billion this year, up 20 to 40 percent overall according to
assorted research companies. At 85% year-over-year, Nielsen/NetRatings
shows the highest annual growth in online sales. They may be right. Unlike
the other research companies, Nielsen/NetRatings bases its research on
actual consumer activity rather than projections. These hefty growth
figures come during a year when total holiday sales will grow between 4
and 6 percent. However you look at it, the Internet has really grown up as
high-speed connections proliferate. It’s easy. It’s cheap. And you don’t
have to stand in line with people who are coughing flu germs into your
breathing air.
Rob Spiegel is the author of Net Strategy (Dearborn) and The
Shoestring Entrepreneur’s Guide to Internet Start-ups (St. Martin's Press). You
can reach Rob at robspiegel@comcast.net.
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