Don’t Fall In Love With Your Inventory
by Ted
Hurlbut
Have you ever heard a wholesaler, importer or distributor say, “We’re
committed to inventory?”
How about, “We can’t sell it if we don’t have it?”
Or perhaps, “We’re not going to just give it away?”
It’s not really surprising, in fact, that each comment seems to be followed
over time by the next. There seems to be a direct, linear connection from the
pledge of being committed to having (lots of) inventory in stock to the idea
that you must have it in stock in order to sell it, to, to the assertion that
the excess, leftover, dead stock retains its value and cannot be sold for below
cost.
Let’s take a closer look at these statements.
“Our inventory is our most important asset. We’re committed to inventory”
Inventory may be the largest asset on your balance sheet, which makes it very
important, but it’s not your most important asset. Your most important asset is
the customer relationships which enable you to turn that inventory into cash,
day after day, day in and day out.
Inventory is one of those things where more is not necessarily better. When
it comes to inventory, “more” generally leads directly to “too much”, which is
usually the first step on the road to trouble. Ask yourself this; “If I could
figure out a way to do the same sales volume with less inventory, would I?” You
bet. Inventory is, in fact, an unfortunate necessity of doing business for a
wholesaler, importer or distributor.
So if inventory is an asset which may not always be an asset, how do you
determine what is what? There are two key inventory productivity metrics which
are widely known, but not always fully utilized. The first is inventory
turnover. Ask a distributor or wholesaler how many times their company turns its
inventory and they’ll probably know the number right off the top of their head.
What they may not be able to tell you as quickly, however, is how many times
they turn the inventory of their key categories or key items. Or, quite
revealingly, how many times they turn the inventory of those items which makes
up the last 20% of their sales (the 80/20 rule, but turned upside down, into the
20/80 rule).
The second key metric is gross margin return on investment, or GMROI. GMROI
merely factors gross margin percentages into inventory turnover data to generate
a financial measure of inventory productivity, the return on inventory
investment. Which takes us directly back to the question we asked above,
slightly re-stated; “If you could generate the same gross profit dollars with
fewer dollars invested in inventory, would you?”
“I can sell it if we have it in stock. I can’t sell it if we don’t” I call
this the “Field of Dreams” argument; if we stock it they will come. I hear this
most frequently from salespeople. It is, of course, easy for a salesman to say
because he doesn’t have to own the inventory personally, his company does, and
if for some reason he can’t sell it, he’s not on the hook, his company is.
But underlying this statement is an important truth about inventory and
marketing; inventory doesn’t generate sales, marketing does. Granted, building a
reputation for having an item in stock when the customer wants it is not an
unimportant marketing message, but it is clearly secondary to communicating to
customers the features, benefits and value of an item. That’s what truly builds
customer demand. A carefully constructed demand forecast, based on factual
history and your customer’s own projections of their needs, is the best basis
for making a stocking decision. An accurate demand forecast is the basis of a
sound inventory plan, which will tell you what you need, when you need it, where
you need it and how much of it you need. And building demand comes back to
marketing; if you aggressively market it, they will come.
“We’ve built up a lot of dead inventory, but we’re not going to just give it
away.” “We may have had it for several years”, (with no activity but the
accumulating layers of dust) “but we paid $10.00 dollars a piece for it when we
bought it,” (three years ago) “and it’s still very saleable. There ’s no reason
to let it go for less than a 20% margin. Besides, somebody might come in and
need it tomorrow.”
Where to start with thinking like this?
First, the $10.00 spent three years ago is sunk and not relevant to any
analysis today. The value of the inventory today is related to what potential
customers might be willing to pay for it, which bears no relationship to what it
originally cost.
If a potential customer felt the inventory was fairly valued and desirable at
$12.50 (a 20% margin on a $10.00 cost), they would have bought it long ago. The
fact that it has still not sold clearly establishes that the market does not
value at $12.50! There’ve already been plenty of tomorrows for customers to have
bought it!
Dead inventory is a problem for most every wholesaler, importer or
distributor at one time or another. It happens. When it does the key to
maximizing your recovery is to act quickly, be clear headed and sober in your
assessment of what it will take to liquidate the inventory, and take your
medicine. Learn from the experience and move forward. Don’t worry about what you
once paid for it, or how much you’re carrying it on your books for. It’s not
relevant. Turn it into cash. Now.
Conclusion
Don’t fall in love with your inventory. It’s amazing how the investment in
inventory can take on an emotional, almost passionate quality. If you think
about it, however, it is perfectly understandable. For many wholesalers and
distributors with an entrepreneurial investment in their business, their
inventory is made up of products which represent a life’s passion.
For those of us whose focus is on managing inventory, however, we look at
inventory, and see a surrogate for cash. It’s either going to be sold and
converted to cash, or it’s sitting there tying up cash, costing us more cash
each and every additional day it’s not sold. Our challenge as inventory managers
is to help wholesalers, importers and distributors recognize and adopt sound
inventory management practices, in order to maximize their return on inventory
investment, without sacrificing the passion that is the lifeblood of any growing
business.
© Ted Hurlbut 2004
Ted Hurlbut helps small retailers, wholesalers, importers
and distributors improve the productivity of their inventory investment. He can
be reached at
tedhurlbut@hurlbutassociates.com.
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